ISIS-Somalia: Mumin at Large in Cal Miskaad Mountains — What the U.S.-Puntland Campaign Means (2025)

The elusive ISIS-Somalia leader, Abdulqadir Mumin, continues to elude capture in the rugged Al Miskaad mountains, despite a relentless U.S.–Puntland campaign. Despite the heaviest joint offensive yet, Mumin remains at large, with security officials describing him as a master of evasion, moving between caves and hardened hideouts in the Cal Miskaad highlands. This comes as a surprise, given the initial battlefield assessments that suggested the strikes had eliminated a senior ISIS-Somalia commander and up to 15 fighters from Syria, Turkey, and Ethiopia. The campaign, which included coordinated ground and airstrikes on ISIS positions in the Baalade valley, has significantly weakened ISIS-Somalia's combat strength, but the leadership has proven resilient. The U.S. and Puntland forces are now faced with the challenge of tracking a small, highly mobile leadership cadre in some of Somalia's most difficult terrain. This is all the more surprising given the recent reassessment of reports that Mumin had fled the area. The U.S. has been relentless in its pursuit of Mumin, with repeated attempts to eliminate the Somali-born cleric, whose name is also spelled Abdikadir or Abdiqadir. In late May 2024, a U.S. airstrike near Daardar targeted ISIS militants, with Mumin as the intended target. However, Mumin survived and continued to operate from a highly secured hideout in the Al-Miskaad mountains. The U.S. has listed him as a 'specially designated global terrorist' since 2016, citing his role in directing attacks and overseeing an ISIS cell in East Africa. Mumin's journey began in Puntland, where he later moved to Europe, settling in the United Kingdom in the early 2000s. He obtained British citizenship and became known as a hard-line preacher in London and Leicester mosques, monitored by British security services and associated with several well-known extremists. Around 2010, he returned to Somalia to join al-Shabab, initially serving as a propagandist and imam. In 2015, he split from al-Shabab and pledged allegiance to the then-ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, forming a small ISIS faction in the Golis and Cal Miskaad mountains that has since morphed into ISIS-Somalia. The group has carried out assassinations, extortion campaigns, and attacks in Puntland, while clashing at times with al-Shabab. Intelligence estimates have generally put his force at between 100 and 400 fighters, including foreign volunteers drawn from several regions. Despite the group's small size, ISIS-Somalia has become a key financial hub for the wider Islamic State network, raising money through extortion, money laundering, kidnapping for ransom, arms trafficking, piracy, illegal fishing, and facilitating human smuggling. The U.S. State Department's Rewards for Justice program has offered up to $10 million and possible resettlement for information on the group's financial operations, calling ISIS-Somalia a 'financial artery' for ISIS affiliates in Africa and beyond. The U.S. and Somali officials have identified a structure known as the al-Karrar office as a central ISIS financial node that has helped move tens of thousands of dollars a month across regions to pay fighters and purchase weapons. The growing financial and logistical role of ISIS-Somalia, combined with repeated U.S. attempts to kill Mumin, has reinforced the perception that his network has become far more important to the movement than its small size suggests. The U.S. and Puntland forces must continue their efforts to dismantle ISIS-Somalia's network, rooted in remote mountains and transnational financial channels, a long-term challenge that requires persistent pressure to push the group into its final phase in northern Somalia.

ISIS-Somalia: Mumin at Large in Cal Miskaad Mountains — What the U.S.-Puntland Campaign Means (2025)

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